Bihar: This time the politics of Bihar are at a very crucial juncture, and all vision are stock-still on those ten turnout seats where the difference between victory and defeat in 2020 was less than 1,000 votes. The small margin had reverted the game last time, and this time too these seats can transpiration the picture of the assembly. Both the NDA and INDIA alliances have put their full strength on this.
1. Hilsa (Nalanda)
In 2020, the fate was decided here by just 12 votes. In that election, Krishnamurari Sharan of JD(U) had defeated Atari Muni, plume Shakti Singh Yadav of RJD, by a narrow margin. Both the leaders are in the fray again, so this time too the races will be very keen.
2. Ramgarh (Buxar)
Here in 2020, Sudhakar Singh of RJD had won by only 189 votes. Later, BJP's Ashok Singh won the 2024 by-election, but the margin still remained low. Now in 2025, all three candidates from BJP, RJD, and BSP are present, which makes the competition squint tougher.
3. Kudhni (Muzaffarpur)
In 2020, RJD's Anil Kumar Sahni defeated BJP's Kedar Prasad Gupta by 712 votes. This time RJD reverted the candidate, and Sahni is contesting the elections independently. Kedar Prasad Gupta is in the field again. The three-way dispute makes this seat increasingly delicate.
4. Barbigha (Nawada)
This seat follows the tradition of small margins. In 2020, Sudarshan Kumar of JD(U) defeated Gajanand Shahi of Congress by just 113 votes. In 2025, both the alliances have put in full gravity here, and the races is likely to be close.
5. Dehri (Rohtas)
In 2020, RJD's Fateh Bahadur Singh Kushwaha defeated BJP's Satyanarayan Singh by 464 votes. Now here the prominent faces of LJP (Ram Vilas) and RJD are face-to-face, due to which the heartbeats will remain fast till the result is decided.
6. Bhore (Gopalganj)
Here too in 2020 victory was very close. Sunil Kumar of JD(U) defeated Jitendra Paswan of CPI(ML) by 462 votes. This time too the main races is between JD(U) and CPI(ML). With the entry of a third party, this seat has moved towards a triangular fight.
7. Bachhwada (Begusarai)
In 2020, BJP's Surendra Mehta defeated CPI's Avadhesh Rai by only 484 votes. In 2025, again, all three big players are in the fray, and the competition looks tense.
8. Bakhri (Begusarai)
Here in 2020, CPI's Suryakant Paswan defeated BJP's Ramshankar Paswan by 777 votes. This time the candidates of LJP and Congress have taken the lead. The result is then expected to be very close.
9. Parbatta (Khagaria)
Not in 2010, but in 2020, Dr. Sanjeev Kumar of JD(U) defeated Digambar Prasad Tiwari of RJD by 951 votes. This time Dr. Sanjeev reverted the party and is seen in RJD colors. His races is with the LJP candidate; hence, the impact of the semester of votes will be big.
10. Chakai (Zami)
In 2020, self-sustaining Sumit Kumar Singh defeated RJD's Savitri Devi by 581 votes. Now Sumit is the JD(U) candidate, and Savitri Devi is then in the fray. Both the alliances have put full accent here also.
Why could these seats be decisive?
Seats where the margin of victory was not in thousands but in just a few hundred votes have an no-go impact on the referendum results. In a coalition-dominated state like Bihar, the government's calculations may transpiration due to the reversal of some seats. Therefore, full accent has been laid from both sides on booth-level organization, candidate pitch, and local issues. Voting will be held phase-wise on November 11, and the results on November 14 will reveal whether these ten seats really proved to be the key to power.
One thing is well-spoken in all these seats: every vote here is decisive. The sensation and activism of the referendum officer, party organization, and local voters will decide in which direction the political map of Bihar will turn.
