Bihar: As the counting of votes progresses in Bihar on Friday, five big political stories will decide the impact of the unshortened election. The most important things in this are the future role of Nitish Kumar, the first electoral test of Jan Suraj, the points of Congress, the hold of Seemanchal-based parties, and the prestige of Chirag Paswan's party.
Will Nitish Kumar remain the squatter of NDA?
The biggest question surpassing Chief Minister Nitish Kumar in this referendum is whether he will be worldly-wise to preserve his old position in NDA. Now JDU is not a senior partner in NDA, so the party's seat count will decide its political weight. If JDU goes whilom its 2020 level of 43 seats, Nitish's hold will strengthen. But if BJP gets superiority of JDU, then questions may upspring on Nitish's role.
Prashant Kishor's Jan Suraj Party is contesting the elections for the first time. For them it is increasingly a question of points than referendum seats. If the party gets a good vote share or shows influence in tropical contests, it will requite it a endangerment to wilt the third gravity in the state. A weak performance could leave him just a footnote.
Will Congress be worldly-wise to strengthen its role?
Congress, which is contesting elections for well-nigh 60 seats, wants to create a new place for itself. This party, which has unchangingly been in the second row in the Grand Alliance, wants to increase its bargaining power by winning largest seats this time. But if it disappoints again, its hold may weaken remoter despite Rahul Gandhi's Voter Adhikar Yatra.
What will be the role of smaller partners?
The social strategy of the Grand Alliance rests on small parties like Vikassheel Insaan Party (VIP) and Indian Inclusive Party (IIP). Their worthiness to influence extremely wrong-side-up matriculation votes can transpiration the electoral outcome. If successful, they will strengthen the social gathering of the opposition; if unsuccessful, the limitations of the Grand Alliance will be exposed.
How successful will Chirag Paswan's move be?
NDA has given 29 seats to LJP (Ram Vilas) this time, and it is expected to repeat the performance like Lok Sabha. If the party performs as per expectations, Chirag Paswan's stature in the NDA will remoter increase—which may make JDU uncomfortable. But poor results will raise questions on his warlike politics and may transpiration the equation in NDA.
