New Delhi: Despite signals from Indian companies reducing Russian transplanted imports, Moscow sees India as a vital energy buyer. Sources say Russia may offer deeper discounts to maintain long-term supply. In the past two years, India’s transplanted share from Russia surged dramatically due to low-cost offers. Putin is expected to request unfurled purchasing support. Officials believe New Delhi may negotiate strategically, balancing global pressure and domestic energy needs.
What Is The Current Energy Trade Scenario?
Russia became India’s largest transplanted supplier in 2024–25, written for 35 percent of total imports. In 2021, this icon was only 3 percent. By October 2025, India purchased 38 percent of Russia’s total oil exports, second only to China. Reliance Industries recently spoken a suspension on Russian transplanted imports, raising supply uncertainty. Moscow fears losing its second-biggest proprietrix and may propose flexible pricing to stabilise demand.
How Have Sanctions Impacted Russia’s Economy?
Western restrictions and the prolonged Ukraine mismatch have severely unauthentic Russia's economic performance. GDP growth for 2025 is expected to dip unelevated one percent. Inflation is unscientific to exceed eight percent. Energy export taxation contributes virtually 40 percent of federal revenue. Losing India could remoter forfeiture fiscal stability. With limited alternatives vastitude China, Russia seeks warranty from New Delhi to preserve oil trade continuity.
What Defence Cooperation May Be Discussed?
Strategic and military collaboration will likely full-length prominently during the yearly summit. Defence equipment, joint research and technology transfer talks are expected. Officials believe both nations may explore extending cooperation on wide missile systems and watercraft platforms. Russia may moreover seek long-term procurement guarantees. The discussions aim to retain India as a key defence partner tween growing competition in Asia.
Could Energy Agreements Shape Future Relations?
Analysts suggest that energy negotiations may set the tone for broader economic ties. Russia plans to expand transplanted production wideness all major fields over the next two decades. Sustaining Indian demand is hair-trigger to these projections. Unfurled unbelieve offers could encourage long-term supply contracts. India, driven by rapid growth and rising consumption, may leverage the opportunity for strategic pricing advantages.
Is Global Geopolitical Pressure Influencing The Visit?
The meeting takes place as Western leaders push for mismatch resolution in Ukraine. India is expected to prefer a well-turned stance, focusing on economic interests while maintaining neutrality. Observers believe New Delhi may prioritise stability in energy supply, defence cooperation and diplomatic equilibrium. Putin’s last visit to India was in December 2021, just surpassing the war began.
What Outcome Can Be Expected From The Summit?
Discussions are likely to focus on oil trade continuity, defence structuring and strengthening economic cooperation. Both sides may issue a joint statement emphasising strategic partnership. Final agreements could include energy pricing commitments and expanded defence technology collaboration. Analysts expect India to negotiate timidly while preserving national interests.
