Begusarai Assembly Seat: The Begusarai assembly seat, known as the major industrial and urban part-way of Bihar, has unchangingly been extremely sensitive from a political point of view. Known as 'Mini Moscow,' this zone has been a historical stronghold of leftist movements, but since 2010 it has wilt a stronghold of the BJP. As of the present stage (21 October 2025), the nomination process has been completed and the referendum undercurrent has wilt increasingly heated. A total of 1314 candidates have contested for 121 seats (which includes Begusarai) in the first phase, but the main races here seems to be triangular between NDA (BJP), Grand Alliance (RJD-Congress-Left Party) and Jan Suraj. Let's squint at the key aspects.
Major issues
Apart from the old issues like traffic jams, inadequate drainage systems, waste management, migration due to lack of employment, property treason and largest policing, some new dimensions have been widow to the 2025 elections. Despite stuff tropical to Barauni Refinery, not getting unbearable jobs for the local youth remains a big challenge. moreover:
- Education and Health: Issues like lack of schools in rural areas (like the threat of a vote snub due to non-construction of a school in Rachiahi village) and deaths of patients outside hospitals are emerging.
- Environment and Liquor Policy: Industrial pollution, collapsing bridges and deaths due to poisonous liquor are among the main voucher of the opposition.
- Corruption and Paper Leaks: Along with unemployment, exam paper leaks and allegations of self-indulgence are well-expressed young voters the most.
These issues are at both urban and rural levels, and new parties like Jan Suraj are trying to vamp the youth by raising them.
Vote counting
According to the Referendum Commission's final voter list of 30 September 2025, there are a total of 3.10 lakh voters (1.65 lakh male, 1.45 lakh female), which shows an increase of well-nigh 10 thousand from 2020. This is the seat with the largest number of voters in the district, where the stereotype voting percentage remains between 52% and 55%. Updated estimates show that the share of young and sexuality voters is increasing, which may encourage issue-based voting.
| Category | Number (in lakh) | Increase from 2020 |
| Total Voters | 3.10 | 0.10 |
| Male | 1.65 | 0.05 |
| Female | 1.45 | 0.05 |
| Estimated Voting | 1.61-1.71 | Stable |
Caste Equations
The upper castes (Bhumihar-Vaishya) remain the strong wiring of the BJP, while the Yadavs, Muslims and Extremely Backward Classes (EBCs) play a decisive role. This equation remains unchanged in 2025, but Jan Suraj is targeting the EBC-youth vote. Smaller parties (like BSP) may divide the Bahujan votes. The rencontre for the Grand Alliance is to completely unite the Left Vote Bank (CPI).
| Caste/Group | Estimated Share | Major Support |
| Upper Caste | (Bhumihar-Vaisya) 25-30% | BJP |
| DAV-Muslim | 20-25% | Grand Alliance |
| EBC | 30-35% | Decisive (Jan Suraj influence) |
| Others | (SC/ST) 10-15% | Divided |
Details of previous wins and losses
This seat has been continuously held by BJP since 2010. Updated figures:
| Year | Winner (Party) | Margin (Votes) | Opponent |
2020 Kundan Kumar (BJP) 4,554 Amita Bhushan (Congress)
2015 Amarendra Kumar (BJP) 4,000 Amita Bhushan (Congress)
Congress had historically won this seat 8 times, but now its position has weakened.
Current Situation
The referendum undercurrent is exciting, but BJP's dominance seems to be intact. JDU suffered a major wrack-up when four-time MLA Bogo Singh joined RJD. The dispute between RJD-Congress regarding seat sharing in the Grand Alliance is on the rise. Jan Suraj is trying to cut into young-educated voters, but its impact may be limited. Overall, the BJP is projected to get 40-45% of the vote share, while the opposition is in dire need of unity.
